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Thirty Capital Market Update: What Does the Strong Rally Mean for Interest Rates?

Last week was a big one for data with lots of important releases making headlines. There was a strong rally across the curve with 2-year Swaps down 18 BPS and 10-year Swaps down 16 BPS. This was the largest weekly decline year to date, but rates remain elevated, nonetheless. The week started out poorly with the Employment Cost Index figures coming in higher than expected (2% on the quarter vs. 1% surveyed). On Wednesday, JOLTS figures came in softer than expected, which was good to see. ISM Manufacturing numbers were generally soft to target, but there was a pickup in prices paid on the manufacturing side.

During his speech on Wednesday, Powell was not as hawkish as many feared he’d be, and his tone caused rates to come down. Thursday’s Productivity numbers came out weaker than expected, while Friday’s Payroll numbers were both softer than expected and softer than the month prior.

This week will be much quieter on the data front. The Treasury is bringing $125 Billion of 3-year, 10-year and 30-year bonds to the market this week. We’ll also be getting lots of Fed speak, and it’s likely a lot of the governors will be hawkish.




About Thirty Capital Financial:

Thirty Capital Financial is a leading service provider to the commercial real estate industry. Our team of advisors have spent decades providing solutions for defeasanceinterest rate hedging, and debt management. With our personalized approach, we provide you with the tools, solutions, and strategies to confidently manage debt while supporting the growth of your company. Contact us today to speak with an expert defeasance consultant!

IApartments is an enterprise-level smart apartments platform that turns ordinary apartments into intelligent apartments.

IApartment’s technology automates asset protection, access control, and operational efficiencies for multifamily property owners, managers, and their residents.


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